NYT Piece on U.S. Noncompliance with the JCPOA (with Commentary from Me)
Posted: July 19, 2017 Filed under: Nuclear 2 CommentsSee the article here. I’m included in the video accompanying the article. I do think this is a straightforward case of noncompliance by the U.S. with the JCPOA.
It appears, though, that all signs point to this being the last 90 days of the U.S. participation in the JCPOA. See this analysis here.
I think this FP piece explains well how this would be the worst possible outcome for the U.S. If Trump does withdraw from the deal, the U.S. will be a complete outlier and will be seen as having acted in bad faith.
Of course, we already look ridiculous to the rest of the world due to Trump’s other domestic and foreign policy blunders.
Arms Control Law 
I find it interesting g how everyone just assumes that the JCPOA has a clause imposing g a limit on heavy water production. It simply does not. In fact all it requires with regard to heavy water is that any amount over Iran’s “estimated needs” be exported. There is no upper limit on heavy water production imposed.
“Who is the native English-speaker, who can tell me what ‘estimated’ means?”
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-idUSKBN13C17D